Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.150370 0.160748 0.171568 0.183711 0.196980 0.211062 0.227171
2025-11-30 0.129172 0.143954 0.160215 0.179515 0.201904 0.227190 0.258092
2025-12-07 0.118170 0.135312 0.154847 0.178923 0.208025 0.242357 0.286360
2025-12-14 0.110600 0.129411 0.151464 0.179491 0.214541 0.257438 0.314716
2025-12-21 0.102861 0.122467 0.145986 0.176637 0.216067 0.265843 0.334674
2025-12-28 0.097046 0.117332 0.142167 0.175273 0.218966 0.275714 0.356790
2026-01-04 0.093719 0.114988 0.141540 0.177720 0.226686 0.292103 0.388689
2026-01-11 0.089378 0.111034 0.138524 0.176690 0.229482 0.301773 0.411667
2026-01-18 0.085096 0.106887 0.134959 0.174598 0.230517 0.308837 0.431150
2026-01-25 0.080978 0.102724 0.131114 0.171819 0.230282 0.313884 0.447766
2026-02-01 0.079450 0.101915 0.131690 0.175129 0.238821 0.332122 0.486004
2026-02-08 0.076279 0.098716 0.128810 0.173331 0.239705 0.338860 0.506407
2026-02-15 0.073897 0.096531 0.127281 0.173453 0.243534 0.350481 0.536067
2026-02-22 0.070496 0.092795 0.123405 0.169934 0.241615 0.352964 0.550580
2026-03-01 0.068266 0.090600 0.121605 0.169365 0.244143 0.362600 0.578138
2026-03-08 0.066524 0.089016 0.120594 0.169895 0.248368 0.375193 0.611995
2026-03-15 0.063971 0.086165 0.117609 0.167235 0.247290 0.378809 0.629677
2026-03-22 0.061971 0.084038 0.115596 0.165963 0.248354 0.386061 0.654732
2026-03-29 0.061062 0.083466 0.115857 0.168244 0.255371 0.404021 0.702082
2026-04-05 0.059348 0.081636 0.114145 0.167284 0.256852 0.412250 0.730925
2026-04-12 0.057474 0.079505 0.111890 0.165334 0.256508 0.417113 0.753311
2026-04-19 0.055539 0.077219 0.109315 0.162742 0.254895 0.419503 0.770700
2026-04-26 0.055090 0.077162 0.110175 0.165829 0.263385 0.441277 0.831763